Extreme temperatures, mortality, and adaptation: Evidence from the county level in China

Abstract Extreme temperatures are known to cause adverse health outcomes. Yet knowledge on the magnitude of this effect in developing countries is limited due to data availability and reliability issues. Collecting data for 2872 counties in China, we estimate the effects of daily temperatures on the monthly mortality rate. The results indicate that an additional day for which the maximum temperature is 38°C or above on average increases the monthly mortality rate by about 1.7% relative to if that day's maximum temperature had been in the range 16–21°C. This is after deducting deaths harvested from the subsequent month. Higher gross domestic product per capita at the county level is a...

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