John Drake, Contributor

Author's posts

Was Covid-19 A Black Swan Event?

It seems many people think that the global Covid-19 pandemic is a Black Swan event. It’s not.

Can Future Epidemics Be Predicted?

Yes, it’s possible. It’s also imperative.

Is Fighting Ebola The New Normal In The Democratic Republic Of The Congo?

With both spillover events and ongoing human-to-human transmission, the population of DRC has cumulatively battled Ebola for just over 900 days since the outbreak that began on August 24, 2014.

Why The Delta Variant Is Filling Up Hospitals

Increased transmissibility of Delta variant SARS-CoV-2, coupled with a twofold hospitalization rate, is filling up hospitals

Airborne Transmission Of SARS-CoV-2 Is Evolving

The reason it seems SARS-CoV-2 is spreading faster now than it did in the beginning is because it is. The Alpha variant of SARS-CoV-2 is more prone to airborne transmission than the original strain. Experiments with the Delta variant have yet to be per…

Why The Discovery Of Marburg Virus In West Africa Is A Concern

When zoonotic diseases spillover from wildlife into people it can be very difficult to tell whether what we observe is a singular event, one off and unlikely to lead to anything, or the tip of an iceberg.

Why You Should Be Vaccinated Even If You’ve Already Had Covid-19

There are a lot of good reasons. Here are four.

CDC Infectious Disease Forecasting Center To Be Led By Veteran Scientists

An interview with Dr. Marc Lipsitch, Director of Science

What You Need To Know About The Outbreak Of Delta Variant SARS-CoV-2 In Provincetown, Massachusetts

A large fraction of the outbreak was among people who were vaccinated. Events and large gatherings likely played a major role.

CDC’s Recommendation That Staff And Students Wear Masks In K-12 Schools Is Spot On

CDC now recommends that all staff, teachers, students, and visitors wear a mask in K-12 schools, regardless of vaccination status or the amount of transmission in the local area.